Wednesday, July 29, 2015

IMPORTANT PHILOSOPHICAL DEBATE !!!

I  really  did  finally  find  a  very,  very  good,  very  powerful  inductive  proof  of  God's  existence  which  I  won't  relate  here  and  now.

But,  I  took  the  proof  over  to  my  friends  in  the  Ask  an  Atheist  discussion  forum  website,  and  their  response  was  always  the  same.  In  essence,  here  it  is  --  and  THAT  is  what  this  post  is  all  about ...

"Peter,  what  you  are  pointing  out  to  us  is  not  really  interesting  at  all.   There  is  no  such  thing  as  'a  miracle.'    Suppose  a  man  is  standing  in  Lincoln  Financial  Field  in  Philadelphia  in  front  of  an  audience  of  70,000  people,   flipping  a  silver  dollar ...



... and  he  flips  the  coin  three  hundred  billion  (300,000,000,000)  times  in  a  row,   and  IT  COMES  UP  HEADS  EVERY  SINGLE  TIME!!!  Do  you  realize  that  there  is  nothing  at  all  significant  about  that  --  that  nobody  in  the  70,000  person  crowd   should  be  even  a  little  bit  surprised,  because  300,000,000,000  heads  in  a  row  is  just  ONE  of  the  300,000,000,000  possible  outcomes  of  the  coin  tosses,  EACH  OF  WHICH  IS  EQUALLY  UNLIKELY.  In  other  words,    the  70,000  person  audience  should  be  equally  astonished  at  a  coin  toss  heads/tails  series  looking  something  like  this ...

H T H H T T T H T T H H H H T H T T H T ...

Each  outcome  is  equally  entitled  to  a  gasp  from  the  crowd."

Okay.  What  is  wrong  with  that  argument?

1 comment:

  1. I assume somewhere in your argument you introduced 'miracle' and that is why the miracle term was in their argument. I assume your argument mentioned 'odds of blah blah blah happening, and that is why they are using an odds/chance example to knock you down.

    My answer to 'what is wrong with that argument' is that, what does the existence of God have to do with odds? What does a miracle have to do with odds? 1st definition of MIRACLE in a given online dictionary is:a surprising and welcome event that is not explicable by natural or scientific laws and is therefore considered to be the work of a divine agency. (end of definition)
    Tom make up my own absurd counter argument, a non miracle is, a volcano erupts and blows up, and in a 300 billion square foot area, 1 square foot area will be untouched, the other 299,999,999,999 square feet will be destroyed by this event. I was the only person there and survived, I was occupying that one square foot. NOT A MIRACLE (or perhaps it was but we can't tell as its mathematically arguable that I could have randomly chosen the same space that was in the end not destroyed, OR perhaps something external to randomness manipulated the natural order of things to make sure I didn't end up destroyed. so that's an either or, and its arguable that it was just happenstance. On the other hand, a volcano blows again, and a one mile wide chunk gets blown 5 miles high and comes down. I'm at ground zero where its going to land. I've said my final prayers, The falling mile wide chunk is close enough that it eclipses the sun, I'm in the shadow. ITs within 10 feet of me, then . . . it stops, not yet making contact with the ground, then a mouth nose eyes form on it and says 'excuse me, would you mind stepping about 1 mile over in THAT direction, I'll give you 15 minutes, so a good hurried paced walk will do, have a nice day . . .' at which point I quickly walk to safety. Once there, the chunk gently places itself on the ground . . .
    THAT is a miracle and has zero to do with odds

    So using odds to knock down the idea of miracle was inappropriate.
    But likewise, if odds were introduced to help prove inductively the existence of God, that might be inappropriate too (if you did that). It sure makes a good 'oh gee wiz' moment to show absurdity of things ending up being the way they are without the direct intent of a maker/guidance/and other forces other than pure randomness. We;; with that tiny pinhole of a weakness in argument that perhaps that one open odd of one ten trillionth to one odd would have us end up this way, to the atheist, their argument is, well obviously, that one ten trillionth of an odd of things happening just right really did happen, and I know this because, well, HERE WE ARE . . . that will be stuck in their minds

    I look forward to your inductive proof

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